
EU-budget stalemate between frugals and spenders to likely see extra taxes
EU Council president António Costa has set an end-of-year deadline for the next budget – but negotiators say there is only a “50-50 chance” of success.

EU Council president António Costa has set an end-of-year deadline for the next budget – but negotiators say there is only a “50-50 chance” of success.

EU leaders will hold their first formal discussion on Friday, after the Cypriot presidency tabled the first so-called “negobox”, a draft document setting out possible spending compromises.

The Dutch Scientific Climate Council led the appeal, after member states including Italy and Poland began pushing for concessions in the ongoing emissions trading system revision.

The cost of services like haircuts, restaurant meals, plumbers, and hotel stays also rose faster in recent months, from three to 3.5 percent, suggesting price pressures are spreading beyond just energy and food.

The board’s annual assessment lands just days after the commission announced plans to loosen budget rules for energy investments.

The commission has warned governments against stoking demand with broad subsidies at a time of acute supply shortage. So how are Europe’s biggest economies responding three months in?

There are long-standing disagreements between member states about what constitutes decarbonisation and the proposal leaves room for member states to define what does and does not fit within the framework.

‘De-risking not decoupling’ with Beijing – but what does the EU actually mean?“Critical partner” or “unfair” rival? The EU says that its trade relations with China must change – but Beijing retorts that any curbs on its exports will be met with retaliation.

For Europeans facing a more aggressive Russia and a less reliable US, Munich’s booming defence startups show how quickly war is reshaping industry.

The EU Commission is now aiming a series of blows at China’s trade surplus – pulling out the ‘overcapacity instrument’ instrument from its armoury, which would cap imports of certain Chinese products to the EU.

Norway is pushing Brussels to rethink its long-standing opposition to oil and gas development in the European Arctic, pushing the EU into reviewing its strategy. But would it meaningfully increase Europe’s energy security? And at what environmental cost?

Impose a so-called ‘overcapacity instrument’ aimed at reducing Chinese exports and we will hit back with “resolute countermeasures”, Beijing has warned the EU.

If the Strait of Hormuz remains shut and the US were to restrict gas exports to Europe, prices would jump above the 2022 peak, researchers warn.

‘We got what we need’. A suspension and sunset clause give MEPs the guarantees they had demanded in trilogue talks with EU ministers on Wednesday morning, giving the parliament a major PR victory.
![[Interview] EU’s new merger overhaul risks ignoring the small firms that keep Europe competitive, economist says](https://static.euobserver.com/2026/05/bernardo-2400x1603.jpeg)
The EU is loosening merger rules to build larger European companies that can compete globally, but may be overlooking its SMEs, where much of Europe’s innovation is happening.

The EU’s relations with China are ‘complex’ and marked by ‘systemic rivalry’, the EU’s ambassador to China conceded on Friday.

The question is: how much is left in Europe, and how bad can it get? One of the problems with answering that question is that unlike gas and electricity, oil markets are opaque. There is no standardised European process for collecting and sharing real-time data on stocks and flows oil and fuel.

The London-based oil major reported adjusted earnings of €6.1bn, beating market expectations and doubling last quarter’s results. The chief executive defended the results as showing Shell’s “relentless focus on operational performance.”

MEPs are still to agree their final position on the trade agreement with the US — despite pleas from the bloc’s top trade negotiator for a ‘breakthrough’.

Because transparency rules are weak, it remains difficult to tell what €577bn in Covid-spending has achieved and who ultimately received it.